FIREPath

FIRE Statistics

By the FIREPath Editorial TeamLast updated Reviewed for accuracy by our editorial team

Original statistics aggregated from the same FIRE calculation engine that powers the interactive calculator — every figure below is a real computed value, not a fabricated or estimated placeholder.

Headline stat

$600,000 – $1,500,000

At the default 4% Safe Withdrawal Rate and $40,000/yr expenses, FIRE targets range from $600,000 (Lean) to $1,500,000 (Fat) — a 150% spread across the 5 FIRE types.

Data verified .

FIRE targets ranked (highest to lowest)

Lean FIRE's target ($600,000) is 40% below the Regular FIRE target ($1,000,000).

FIRE targets ranked highest to lowest at default inputs
RankFIRE TypeMultiplierTarget AmountMonthly Income
1Fat FIRE150%$1,500,000$5,000/mo
2Regular FIRE100%$1,000,000$3,333/mo
3Lean FIRE60%$600,000$2,000/mo
4Barista FIRE50%$500,000$1,667/mo
5Coast FIREdiscounted seed$263,555$3,333/mo

FIRE targets by retirement age

Cross-scenario comparison across 5retirement ages, holding all other inputs at their defaults. Regular and Fat FIRE targets don't depend on retirement age; Coast FIRE's discounted seed amount shrinks the later you retire, since the portfolio has fewer years left to compound.

FIRE targets across 5 retirement-age scenarios
Retire AtLeanRegularFatCoastBarista
Age 40$600,000$1,000,000$1,500,000$683,179$500,000
Age 45$600,000$1,000,000$1,500,000$564,679$500,000
Age 50$600,000$1,000,000$1,500,000$466,733$500,000
Age 55$600,000$1,000,000$1,500,000$385,777$500,000
Age 60$600,000$1,000,000$1,500,000$318,862$500,000

Findings

  • Fat FIRE requires 150% more than Lean FIRE at the same $40,000/yr expense base ($1,500,000 vs. $600,000).
  • Regular FIRE's target is 100% higher than Barista FIRE's ($1,000,000 vs. $500,000), the exact gap made up by part-time income in the Barista strategy.
  • Retiring at 60 instead of 40 cuts the Coast FIRE seed amount needed today by 53% ($683,179 to $318,862), because the portfolio has more years to compound.
  • Across all 5 retirement-age scenarios (40-60), the Regular FIRE target stays flat at $1,000,000 — the "25x expenses" target does not depend on retirement age, only on annual expenses and SWR.
  • The default 4% Safe Withdrawal Rate means every $1,000/yr of expenses adds $25,000 to every FIRE type's target.

Download the data

The exact figures above, in machine-readable form — same dataset, no additional processing.

Methodology note: All figures computed live by the FIREPath engine (calculateFIRE()) using the same formulas documented at /methodology. No figure on this page is estimated, rounded from a third-party source, or fabricated.

Disclaimer: This calculator is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Results are based on simplified assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. Consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Sources & References

  1. [1]Trinity Study (1998) — Safe Withdrawal RateUnderlying assumption cited on /methodology.
  2. [2]NYU Stern historical U.S. equity return dataUnderlying assumption cited on /methodology.
  3. [3]U.S. Inflation Calculator — historical CPI dataUnderlying assumption cited on /methodology.

See your own numbers

These statistics use default inputs — plug in your own to see your personal FIRE targets.